Investment Opportunity
in Outlier Capital
Current Market Conditions
The current environment is one of the most difficult markets in history. We are living through a technological revolution while simultaneously having major issues in the financial system. Most people do not know how to navigate this.
This is exactly the environment I was built for. I've been making money with long and short positions.
I expect pain in the near term. And pain breeds opportunity. But I also accept the fact that I can always be wrong, which is why I don't go all-in on one thesis. I allocate to great opportunities on the long side, express bearish views through defined-risk options, and stay flexible enough to adapt when conditions change.
There are generational companies at true inflection points right now. At the same time, there are amazing short opportunities for hedging and generating returns on the downside. Both sides of the market are presenting opportunity simultaneously. This is the best environment for a long/short strategy that I've ever seen, and it will continue.
Now is the best time in a generation for a long/short strategy. A great long/short manager who can execute on both sides of the market is rare. I have not seen anyone do what I did last year and what I'm doing now.
Fund Manager
I'm Matt, the fund manager. I've been investing and trading options for about 8 years. I have an undergraduate degree in Real Estate Finance and a Master's in Finance, but most importantly I have an obsession with the stock market and the skill to outperform.
As soon as the journey began, I was obsessed. I tried to learn as much as I could and continuously improve - learning options, studying previous cycles, experiencing the market in real time, and studying how the greats thought about risk and position sizing.
I don't watch Netflix in my free time. I'm staring at charts, listening to podcasts covering the markets, or taking in different perspectives on where things are headed. This isn't a job for me - it's what I do.
I began documenting my predictions and trades publicly on X as a real-time journal. I wanted accountability and a public record of what I got right and wrong. It turned out I was right far more often than not - and the track record speaks for itself.
I always wanted to start a hedge fund, but the time wasn't right until I had full belief that I could do it. After consistently beating the market and doing it with a long/short book - being so spot on about my read on the markets - now is the time to launch. There is a need for a good long/short manager to navigate this current environment and capitalize on the opportunity ahead.
Track Record (continued)
Documented my thoughts on X for these trades that contributed to my outperformance.
Click to see full case study.
Not Documented on X
But contributed to outperformance
Knowing When to Walk Away
Part of the track record is knowing when to exit. I'm not dogmatic in my thinking. When the thesis changes, I change my mind.
I take profits, I don't get attached to positions, and I've changed my mind on stocks when the thesis broke, dodging bullets in the process.
What People Are Saying
Real feedback from followers who've benefited from my public analysis and calls.
The Greats Started Somewhere
Every legendary investor started with nothing but conviction and a willingness to bet on themselves.
years old
Ken Griffin
Citadel
years old
Warren Buffett
Buffett Partnership
years old
Ray Dalio
Bridgewater
years old
Bill Ackman
Gotham Partners
None of them had institutional credibility when they started. They proved themselves through conviction and results, not pedigree.
Who I Learned From
Peter Lynch
Lynch shaped how I pick stocks. His approach to finding great businesses before Wall Street catches on, understanding what you own at a fundamental level, and having the patience to let a thesis play out is the foundation of my long book. I internalized his framework early and it's embedded in how I evaluate every position.
Stanley Druckenmiller
Druck is the closest thing to how I actually invest. Macro-informed, concentrated, willing to size up when conviction is high, and willing to change his mind fast when he's wrong. He doesn't just pick stocks. He reads the entire macro environment and positions accordingly. That's what I do.
“The way to build long-term returns is through preservation of capital and home runs.”
“I've learned many things from George Soros, but perhaps the most significant is that it's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.”
Let's Talk
Interested in learning more? I'm happy to walk you through the strategy, the track record, and what's ahead. I'm only taking LPs who are aligned and trust the process. If that's you, let's talk.
Reach out directly